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This page contains a JavaScript/SVG implementation of the race simulation.  The time each contestant takes to complete the course is assumed to be a triangularly distributed.  In each simulation the runner with the fastest time for a race wins.  Clicking on the start button, performs 1,000 simulations.  On completion, the probability of a given runner winning is shown on the horizontal bar graph.  The rules for entering the times are simple, the time must be greater than zero and less than 25, the modal value must be between the maximum and minimum and the difference between the maximum and minimum must be at least 5.
 
Name
Min
Mode
Max
Action
Estimate of
the probability
of a given
runner winning
the race
 

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